The autonomous prop-slate generator, alt-line builder, and sharp-of-the-day writer all post here as soon as they fire on Discord. Same rows, same posted_at, no cherry-picking. Refresh for live state.
CURRENT STREAKWins in a row1Best win streak (30d)6
Yesterday's slate: 13 picks, 4-8, 33.3% hit rate. Best sport was MLB at 40%.
LAST 7 DAYSPicks108Props55Wins45Losses47Hit rate48.9%
YESTERDAYPicks16Wins4Losses7Hit rate36.4%
The model has not posted a slate today yet. Slates fire between 11 AM and 1 PM ET. Showing the most-recent published picks below in the meantime.
Most recent (last 30)
mlbUnder 10 · Alt Total Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins Friendly alt under at 63.0% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, both rungs tied at 63.0% — Under wins on vig-asymmetry research.-375loss
mlbLos Angeles Dodgers -1 · Alt Spread Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins Friendly alt spread at 60.0% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Los Angeles Dodgers → away spread.-150win
mlbUnder 8.5 · Alt Total Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays Friendly alt under at 59.3% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, under rung lower-juice (59.3% vs 63.6%).-136loss
mlbOver 7.5 · Alt Total Texas Rangers @ Miami Marlins Friendly alt over at 58.3% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, over rung lower-juice (58.3% vs 64.3%).-120win
mlbTampa Bay Rays -1 · Alt Spread Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays Friendly alt spread at 57.4% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Tampa Bay Rays → home spread.-135loss
mlbMiami Marlins -1 · Alt Spread Texas Rangers @ Miami Marlins Friendly alt spread at 54.3% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Miami Marlins → home spread.-119win
mlbZack Gelof Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Athletics @ San Francisco Giants · Zack Gelof Empirical 95.5% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +31.9pt EV.-175loss
mlbVictor Caratini Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins · Victor Caratini Empirical 78.4% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +16.1pt EV.-165win
mlbKeibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals · Keibert Ruiz Empirical 79.2% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +16.9pt EV.-165loss
mlbLane Thomas Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays · Lane Thomas Empirical 71.5% over last 15 games vs 63.0% implied → +8.5pt EV.-170loss
wnbaJanelle Salaun Over 3.5 Rebounds @ 3.50 · Alt PlayerProp Atlanta Dream @ Golden State Valkyries · Janelle Salaun Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 63.4% implied → +10.0pt EV.-173pending
wnbaEmily Engstler Over 7.5 Points @ 7.50 · Alt PlayerProp Portland Fire @ Chicago Sky · Emily Engstler Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 63.2% implied → +10.1pt EV.-172pending
wnbaPauline Astier Over 2.5 Assists @ 2.50 · Alt PlayerProp New York Liberty @ Las Vegas Aces · Pauline Astier Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +11.1pt EV.-165loss
mlbOver 7.5 · Alt Total Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals Friendly alt over at 60.0% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, over rung lower-juice (60.0% vs 62.3%).-150loss
mlbSt. Louis Cardinals -1 · Alt Spread Arizona Diamondbacks @ St. Louis Cardinals Friendly alt spread at 50.2% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite St. Louis Cardinals → home spread.-101push
mlbUnder 11 · Alt Total Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins Friendly alt under at 60.8% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, both rungs tied at 60.8% — Under wins on vig-asymmetry research.-475win
mlbLos Angeles Dodgers -1 · Alt Spread Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins Friendly alt spread at 56.5% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Los Angeles Dodgers → away spread.-125push
mlbUnder 8.5 · Alt Total Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays Friendly alt under at 62.3% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 7.5 ≤ 7.5 (low-scoring band) → under.-165win
mlbTampa Bay Rays -1 · Alt Spread Kansas City Royals @ Tampa Bay Rays Friendly alt spread at 57.6% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Tampa Bay Rays → home spread.-135loss
mlbMauricio Dubon Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres · Mauricio Dubon Empirical 83.2% over last 15 games vs 63.0% implied → +20.2pt EV.-170win
mlbJosh Bell Over 0.5 Hits @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins · Josh Bell Empirical 84.9% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +22.7pt EV.-165loss
mlbChase Meidroth Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Cleveland Guardians @ Chicago White Sox · Chase Meidroth Empirical 74.1% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +11.8pt EV.-165win
mlbSpencer Steer Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds · Spencer Steer Empirical 99.9% over last 7 games vs 62.3% implied → +17.6pt EV.-165loss
mlbBryson Stott Over 0.5 Total Bases @ 0.50 · Alt PlayerProp Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals · Bryson Stott Empirical 72.6% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +8.3pt EV.-180loss
